According to André Dragosch on X (Dec 10, 2025), Bitcoin (BTC) average returns around FOMC windows are 5D +0.9%, 10D +3.9%, 20D +11.1%, and 50D +28.6% (Source: André Dragosch on X, Dec 10, 2025). The corresponding excess returns versus non-FOMC baselines are 5D -0.9%, 10D ~0%, 20D +2.1%, and 50D -0.9% (Source: André Dragosch on X, Dec 10, 2025). Excess performance is defined as event performance minus the average performance over the same horizon, such as 5D, 10D, 20D, or 50D (Source: André Dragosch on X, Dec 10, 2025). With excess performance fluctuating around 0%, the data indicate almost no significant performance effect from FOMC meetings on BTC compared to non-FOMC dates, suggesting limited historical alpha for event-timed BTC trades around FOMC outcomes (Source: André Dragosch on X, Dec 10, 2025).

According to Michaël van de Poppe, a small liquidity sweep occurred on BTC following the latest FOMC meeting. The price has since returned to its previous range and is showing strong momentum, suggesting that BTC is well-positioned to break upwards toward a new all-time high. This pattern indicates renewed bullish sentiment and could signal a significant trading opportunity for cryptocurrency market participants (source: Michaël van de Poppe).

According to Michaël van de Poppe, the initial price movement in Bitcoin (BTC) and altcoins following a Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) announcement is frequently deceptive, often trapping traders before reversing direction. Traders should approach the immediate post-FOMC volatility with caution and wait for confirmation before entering trades, as the first move is rarely the true market direction (source: Michaël van de Poppe).

According to Omkar Godbole (@godbole17), traders should focus on specific economic indicators and market developments that have measurable impacts on asset prices, rather than relying solely on simplistic narratives such as 'buy if dovish, sell if hawkish.' Godbole emphasizes that factors like unexpected shifts in inflation data, changes in labor market trends, and geopolitical events often have a more pronounced effect on crypto market volatility and liquidity than general Federal Reserve commentary. He advises monitoring these fundamental data points closely for real-time trade opportunities, as they are highly correlated with major price moves in Bitcoin and altcoins (source: https://twitter.com/godbole17/status/1919754334696263969).